WEBVTT >> HE'D RATHER HAVE A PUPPET AS PRESIDENT. >> NO PUPPET, NO PUPPET. >> IT'S PRETTY CLEAR. >> YOU'RE THE PUPPET. SOLEDAD: THE THIRD AND FINAL PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE IS IN THE REAR VIEW MIRROR. AND WITH A LITTLE OVER TWO WEEKS REMAINING BEFORE ELECTION DAY, HILLARY CLINTON HOLDS A GROWING LEAD OVER DONALD TRUMP IN NATIONAL POLLS. BUT IF YOU DRILL DOWN STATE BY STATE, WHAT'S REALLY INTERESTING IS STATES THAT WERE ONCE STRONG HOLDS ARE NOW IN PLAY. A.B. STODDARD IS A COLUMNIST FOR THE POLLING SITE REAL CLEAR POLITICS. NICE TO SEE YOU. WHAT IS THE STRATEGY FOR THE NEXT TWO PLUS WEEKS THAT WE HAVE LEFT? A.B.: THE STRATEGY FOR CLINTON IS TO DO NO HARM AND HOPE THERE ARE NO MORE DAMAGING EMAILS ARE REVEALED BY THE STATE DEPARTMENT RELEASES TO COME AND NO MORE WIKILEAKS DUMPS TO COME. FOR DONALD TRUMP, IF HE WANTED TO GROW HIS VOTE, I DON'T THINK HE IS BEHAVING LIKE HE WANTS TO GROW HIS VOTE. IT WOULD BE BACK ON THE TELEPROMPTER, BACK ON ISSUES, FOCUSING ON REACHING OUT TO VOTERS THAT HE HASN'T ALREADY WON OVER. SOLEDAD: LET'S RUN THROUGH SOME STATES THAT I HAVE FOUND SO INTERESTING. LET'S START WITH OHIO, WHICH IS WE ARE LOOKING AT OHIO ALL OF THE TIME, WHAT IS THE FOCUS THERE YOU THINK? WHAT'S HAPPENING? A.B.: IT IS LOOKING GOOD FOR DONALD TRUMP. IT'S THE ONLY BATTLEGROUND THAT IS LOOKING REALLY KIND OF MADE FOR HIM. IT'S INTERESTING THAT THE GOVERNOR JOHN KASICH, IS NOT A TRUMP FAN, NOT A SUPPORTER. PORTMAN THE SENATOR IS DOING WELL IN HIS RE-ELECTION. HE IS REPUBLICAN THAT SAID HE WILL ENDORSE TRUMP BUT HE IS NOT REALLY. IF YOU LOOK AT THE REPUBLICAN MACHINE IN THE STATE IS NOT TRUMP FRIENDLY, BUT HE IS HOLDING A DURABLE LEAD, MEANING IT'S CLOSE BUT IT HOLDS. AND THAT'S BECAUSE YOU HAVE A LARGE POPULATION NON-COLLEGE WHITE VOTERS, NOT A LOT OF LATINOS THERE. IT'S A GOOD STATE FOR DONALD TRUMP. SOLEDAD: A STATE WITH A GROWING NUMBER OF LATINO VOTERS IS NORTH CAROLINA, I THINK THE AVAILABLE LATINOS TO VOTE, WHO KNOW IF THEY WILL, BUT AVAILABLE TO VOTE IS UP 40% FROM THE LAST ELECTION, THE LAST PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. WHAT IS HAPPENING IN NORTH CAROLINA? A.B.: NORTH CAROLINA IS ANOTHER MORE HIGHER EDUCATED GROUP OF VOTERS AND A CHANGING PLACE OF TRANSITION. PEOPLE ARE MOVING THERE FROM OTHER PLACES, AS YOU POINT OUT, A GROWING NONWHITE POPULATION ARE REGISTERING TO VOTE AND THAT A REEL BOOST FOR HILLARY CLINTON'S CHANCES THERE. SOLEDAD: THAT'S CHANGING FAST. LET'S TALK ABOUT FLORIDA, WEIRDLY IT LOOKS LIKE RUBIO COULD BE HELPING TRUMP IN FLORIDA. AND WEIRDLY BECAUSE DURING THE PRIMARIES WE WATCHED THE CLASHING BETWEEN THE TWO OF THEM. A.B.: YES, TRUMP WALLOPED HI IN THE FINAL PRIMARY FLORIDA VOTE AND SENT RUBIO PACKING. HE IS DOING WELL IN THE SENATE RACE, HE IS DOING WELL WITH LATINOS. TRUMP NOT DOING WELL WITH TH LATINO VOTE IN FLORIDA, DOING WORSE THAN ROMNEY WHO WON 39% OF LATINOS IN THE STATE AND STILL LOST THE STATE. IT'S GOING TO BE INTERESTI QUESTION OF TURNOUT. WHO TURNS OUT? ARE THEY LOYAL REPUBLICANS WH SAY I'M NOT A SUPPORT FOR TRUMP, BUT I'M GOING TO GO TO POLLS TO VOTE FOR RUBIO ANY WAY. WHEN THEY GO TO THE POLLS, DO THEY LEAVE IT BLANK? DO THEY VOTE FOR HILLARY AND NOT TELL THEIR FRIENDS? IT'S GOING TO COME DOWN PEOPLE SUPPORTING RUBIO DO THEY VOTE TRUMP, DO THEY NOT VOTE TRUMP, DO THEY VOTE HILLARY? WHAT HAPPENS TO THE PEOPLE THAT ARE HELPING HIM HOLD A LEAD THERE? SOLEDAD: ACROSS THE BOARD, MILLENNIALS DO THEY SAY MEH OR DO THEY TURN OUT? I'M INTERESTED TO SEE IF LATINOS CAN MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE IN THIS ELECTION BUT I'VE BEEN SAYING THAT FOR YEAR AFTER YEAR AFTER YEAR AND THEY DON'T REALLY TURN OUT. WOMEN VOTERS, MALE VOTERS, MALE NO COLLEGE TALK TO ME ABOUT TURNOUT. A.B.: TURNOUT IS GOING TO MAKE ALL THE DIFFERENCE. I FEEL THAT ALL THE POLLS COULD BE WRONG IF TURNOUT TURNS OUT CERTAIN WAY FOR DONALD TRUMP. FOR INSTANCE, NON COLLEGE WHITE VOTERS THAT'S HIS BASE, ARE THEY ALL REGISTERED? FOR THE ONES WHO ARE REGISTERED, ARE THEY GOING TO SHOW UP? DO THEY KNOW WHERE THEIR PRECINCT IS? DO THEY JUST LIKE TO GO TO RALLIES OR ARE THEY GOING TO VOTE? MILLENNIALS THAT VOTED FOR SANDERS THEY REALLY DO NOT LIKE CLINTON. THEY ARE COMING AROUND BUT ARE THEY GOING TO STICK WITH HER? IF THERE IS A BAD EMAIL REVEAL IN THE WEEKS TO COME AND THEY BECOME MORE DISGUSTED ARE THEY GOING TO VOTE FOR GARY JOHNSON? SOLEDAD: MUCH MORE LIKELY TO BE FOLLOWING WHAT IS HAPPENING IN WIKILEAKS ANYWAY. A.B.: RIGHT. IT'S A THREAT TO HER IN A RACE THAT CAN BE WON OR LOST ON THE MARGINS TO JUST THREE OR FOUR OR FIVE STATES TO HAVE PEOPLE HAVE DROP OFF THE OBAMA COALITION. SHE REALLY NEEDS TO KEEP THEM ENERGIZED AFRICAN AMERICANS. WOMEN WHO DON'T LIKE TRUMP DO THEY LIKE HILLARY ENOUGH TO COME OUT FOR HER OR ARE THEY JUST GOING TO STAY HOME? THAT WILL REALLY BE THE KEY QUESTION. SOLEDAD: YOU WILL JUST BE